Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.231340 0.262359 0.295475 0.333404 0.375581 0.420983 0.473493
2025-09-21 0.187774 0.229054 0.275941 0.332933 0.400110 0.476545 0.569853
2025-09-28 0.157237 0.204367 0.260840 0.333048 0.422423 0.528889 0.664726
2025-10-05 0.136485 0.187710 0.252063 0.338066 0.449104 0.586652 0.768816
2025-10-12 0.121886 0.176393 0.247829 0.347111 0.480118 0.650570 0.883666
2025-10-19 0.108091 0.164070 0.240383 0.350340 0.502700 0.704042 0.987420
2025-10-26 0.098017 0.155455 0.236628 0.357476 0.530081 0.764507 1.102967
2025-11-02 0.090527 0.149527 0.235718 0.367926 0.562012 0.832184 1.231237
2025-11-09 0.080926 0.139215 0.227222 0.366259 0.575936 0.874894 1.326313
2025-11-16 0.072829 0.130259 0.219739 0.365100 0.589923 0.917727 1.422932
2025-11-23 0.065710 0.122041 0.212503 0.363431 0.602532 0.958595 1.517994
2025-11-30 0.061291 0.117817 0.211123 0.370586 0.628703 1.020387 1.646333
2025-12-07 0.055670 0.111094 0.205348 0.370656 0.644462 1.068359 1.758130
2025-12-14 0.050725 0.105022 0.200083 0.371054 0.660599 1.117563 1.874080
2025-12-21 0.046361 0.099511 0.195246 0.371673 0.676916 1.167607 1.993440
2025-12-28 0.043229 0.095981 0.193551 0.377471 0.702018 1.232636 2.139202
2026-01-04 0.040987 0.093940 0.194333 0.387590 0.734882 1.311582 2.310553
2026-01-11 0.038102 0.090256 0.191697 0.391229 0.756543 1.372847 2.455451
2026-01-18 0.035996 0.087948 0.191443 0.399141 0.786019 1.448289 2.626668
2026-01-25 0.034464 0.086696 0.193106 0.410684 0.822504 1.537031 2.823513
2026-02-01 0.031640 0.082260 0.188024 0.408859 0.834365 1.583773 2.950836
2026-02-08 0.029137 0.078251 0.183436 0.407588 0.847018 1.632207 3.082689
2026-02-15 0.026814 0.074376 0.178767 0.405752 0.858352 1.678577 3.212493